Monday, June 3, 2019

Get Ready for Continued Boosts in Average U.S. Internet Access Speeds

It always is dangerous to rely on slow or ponderous measurement mechanisms when any process is changing rapidly, as is the case for U.S. fixed network internet access. Historically, the United States has ranked about 15th globally on measures of voice service adoption or internet access adoption.



Rankings for internet access speed have often shown lower rankings than 15th, globally. Fastmetrics ranked the the United States about 20th for fixed network speeds about the middle of 2018.

But speeds in the U.S. market are changing very rapidly, largely on the strength of cable TV fixed internet services. The latest Speedtest global comparison shows rapidly-increasing U.S. internet access speed, which improved about 36 percent in one year.

But 5G also will boost average mobile speeds significantly as well. Mobile speeds are one example, where the United States in 2019 ranked about 30th globally. All that is likely to change as 5G coverage spreads.

It is not just that 5G will provide an order of magnitude (higher in some cases) boost in speeds. On a comparative basis, the U.S. market is a first mover on 5G, so will reap the benefits while most other countries have not yet launched 5G.

It seems always to be the last seven percent of households that lag average U.S. internet access speeds and availability.

If there are about 130 million U.S. housing locations, that implies the number of households not reached by cable networks is perhaps nine million locations.

Telco networks probably reach about 98 percent of housing locations. That does not mean seven percent of U.S. homes have no fixed network internet access, or that they have no ability to buy internet access.

What those numbers mean is that, altogether, 93 percent of homes have access to 25 Mbps fixed network service (the minimum definition of “broadband”), with nearly 100 percent access to 25 Mbps or 30 Mbps by satellite.

Most of the homes that cannot buy a fixed network “broadband” service, using the current definition, can buy service at lower speeds. It always is the last couple of percent of homes in the most-isolated areas that have issues with coverage or speeds.


The issues with the last few percent of locations will remain. But there is every reason to predict a dramatic increase in typical U.S. internet access speeds as 5G is introduced, at least in part because fixed wireless will boost speeds, in part because mobile 5G will start to become more attractive as an alternative to fixed connections and because cable operators will continue to push speeds to stay ahead of those developments.

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