Friday, October 26, 2007

Comcast Revs Up SME Effort


Comcast is kicking its business services initiative into higher gear. "Our total commercial revenue passed $100 million for the first time in the third quarter," says Steve Burke, Comcast COO. "We have hired and trained 750 business salespeople and trained 1,200 technicians to install and service business customers."

"Each of our 29 operating regions have now introduced Comcast business class as our commercial brand, supporting data, voice and television," he says. It will take some time for Comcast to iron out all the wrinkles, just as it took some time to fine tune the digital voice effort.

Some of you will remember a few stumbles Cisco took when it got into the IP communications business. The point is that as capable as they are, it will take some time before cable shows its ultimate skill. But it will.

Thursday, October 25, 2007

AOL Mobile Site Created


AOL has developed a new mobile version of its online services, in line with the trend to optimize Web experiences for mobile access. Though the trend has been underway in any case, it might be fair to say that the sudden success of the Apple iPod has alerted the whole industry to the existence of a new mobile segment: high-end Web-centric users for whom Web applications and entertainment as as important as voice and text messaging.

And since over time, all phones are expected to become smart phones or feature phones, mobile-optimized Web sites are a must.

The upgrades include more mobile-friendly versions of AOL Search, Mail, MapQuest, and AOL Instant Messenger, among other features. The new mobile search, for instance, will offer results that are more tailored to users on the go, such as driving directions and click-to-call options linked to services like MapQuest and Moviefone.

A mobilized myAOL service will enable users to personalize the AOL mobile site by selecting news headlines, pictures, and RSS feeds. Separately, AOL plans to launch AOL MyMobile, a new application similar to Yahoo's Go service, by year's end.

It will allow Mobile Windows users to download a range of AOL services such as Mail, Cityguide and Search, and will remember recent requests to help speed searches on the fly.

A new mobile widget for GPS-enabled phones will also allow AIM users to locate each other, marking a step by AOL into the mobile social networking area.

As part of the new mobile push, AOL is also formally launching Winamp Remote, letting people access and listen to music stored on their computers from on their cell phones.

iPhone has changed some things and accelerated some things. Much faster movement towards mobile-optimized Web experiences is among those impacts.

Vonage Settles Verizon Lawsuit


Vonage has settled a patent lawsuit brought by Verizon Communications Inc. for an amount yet to be determined but not in excess of $120 million. Vonage already has put $88 million in escrow and the settlement caps any payouts Vonage will make on top of that amount at $32 million. Having settled a suit filed by Sprint, and nearing closure on the Verizon patent infringement lawsuit, Vonage still faces a patent lawsuit filed by at&t. The Verizon settlement is the third Vonage has had to make so far.

FiOS Goes 20 Mbps Symmetrical


Some residents of New York, Connecticut, and New Jersey now are able to buy Verizon's new symmetrical 20 Mbps FiOS service. The 20/20 service costs $64.99 per month and includes Verizon's Internet Security Suite and 1 GByte of online backup (up to 50GB can be purchased.

A small business version is certain to be offered. Can you guess what this will do to T1 demand and pricing where the offer is available?

Boingo Tariff Optimized for Mobile Use Case


Boingo Wireless has created a new tariff aimed squarely at Nokia smart phone and tablet users. The new Boingo Mobile tariff means users of a half dozen Nokia devices automatically can connect to Boingo’s network for $7.95 a month (€5.95 or £3.95). Compatible devices include the N800, N810, N95, N91, E611 and E51.

The significance, it seems to me, is that Boingo is among the first broadband access providers to provide an actual consumer offer that matches many instances of the mobile device Web use case. Where a lap top user might reasonably expect to park at a hot spot for 30 minutes, a mobile user walking on the street might expect to use a Web application for three minutes. And a user might only require the access a few times a month.

So the issue really is matching the perceived value of the connection time, compared to the tariff. At some point, similar thinking will need to be applied to Wi-Fi-enabled devices of other sorts, such as cameras. It sometimes is useful or pleasing to be able to take a picture and send a picture right away. But the typical user is going to evaluate the cost of being able to do so in a different way than he or she would evaluate a monthly bucket of voice and data.

The other interesting angle is just how far one can push the ad hoc, partly available network idea. In the extreme, can one create a use case for devices that only operate on Wi-Fi? Though generally unappetizing for a voice device, are there scenarios where it works well enough for broadband Web access applications?

Also, what are the niches for dual-mode mobiles able to use wireless networks and Wi-Fi, but whose owners opt not to buy full-coverage, unlimited or large data plans? In other words, is Wi-Fi coveratge at home, in the office and at public locations satisfy a use case for enough potential users to create a sizable business?

Wednesday, October 24, 2007

Rivals Pooh Pooh iPhone


As was to be expected at a wireless show where enterprise applications are a big part of the content, rival handset manufacturers dismissed the iPhone's prospects as an enterprise device. Most of the barriers seemed to center on the lack of openness, compared to what is available on other platforms such as the Windows Mobile and Symbian platforms. Enterprise IT manager resistance was another frequently cited hurdle. Some pointed to the still-small volumes Apple can point to, in light of a market with an installed base of two billion. One executive quipped that his firm sold more phones "during lunch" than Apple has sold to date.

Still, Apple got begrudging respect for its design skills, ability to capture the essence of "cool" and for the way iPhone has singlehandedly changed handset design. The LG Prada, for example, features one such new look. Others pointed to the way Apple has pushed the U.S. market further in the direction of unlocked phones and consumer choice. Some pointed to Apple's unheard of ability to dictate terms to carriers used to getting their own way with handset providers.

Some said iPhone was a tipping point, milestone or landmark. It is the first phone that really puts Web experience right up there with voice performance. Up to this point high end phones have been about productivity. iPhone arguably is the first to put "fun" at the center of a high end device.

"For the first time, you have a Silicon Valley company disrupting the whole market," says Cyriac Roeding, CBS Mobile EVP.

Still, there are lots of other important segments, even though there seems universal agreement that, at some point, just about every phone sold in North America and Europe will be a smart phone. Not everyone is going to want a touch interface for text entry, as useful as it is for Web browsing. The HTC Touch seems to require fingers much smaller than mine, for example. The lack of tactile feedback seems to require some getting used to as well, though Nokia seems to have a solution for that.

Tuesday, October 23, 2007

Microsoft Aims to Mobilize the Enterprise


One issue enterprise information technology staffs must contend with is the difficulty of managing and securing mobile devices used by enterprise associates in the same way they manage desktop PCs. But Microsoft thinks it has a solution. Microsoft next year will roll out the Microsoft System Center Mobile Device Manager 2008, a new mobile-dedicated server solution that helps companies manage Windows Mobile phones as they would their Windows-based laptops and PCs.

Using Mobile Device Manager, companies can deliver new applications to phones over the air as well as by mobile virtual private network. Samsung's Blackjack II smart phone and at&t Wireless are two early partners.

Blackjack II, a new Windows Mobile 6 phone featuring GPS that will be updatable to support Mobile Device Manager, will be deployed by at&t in a Mobile Device Manager 2008 configuration.

In fact, at&t and Sprint both say they will support Mobile Device Manager for business customers next year.

Sunday, October 21, 2007

VON Unconference is Where the Action Will Be

If you are attending the VON Show in Boston, be sure to check out the VONCamp Unconference. Tired of attending sessions where the same people you have been hearing from are giving the same presentations you already heard? The whole idea is to let whomever shows up select the topics, shape the discussions and share what they know.

"Think of it as constructive anarchy," says Iotum CEO Alec Saunders. "Amazing things can come out of these sessions."

Tom Howe will kick the day off with an "agenda bashing" session, where all attendees will decide on the agenda for the day. After that, 12 sessions of 25 minutes each area available. Anyone can present and everyone is expected to participate in some way.

I'd be willing to bet this is the best use of time most of us could commit at the whole meeting, no offense to the organizers of the more traditional show.

http://5thtrack.pbwiki.com/ is the link.

iPhone Tops at&t Phone Sales


The iPhone has become at&t's top selling device, commanding some 13 percent of overall sales, according to Strategy Analytics. At least 1.325 million units have been sold in the U.S. market since the iPhone was launched. It also is conceivable that the iPhone will be the top selling U.S. dvice over the next couple of quarters.

Currently, the top selling U.S. handset is Motorola's RAZR V3. Generally, the top 10 handset models account for approximately 25 percent of total handset sales in a typical quarter.

"The typical iPhone buyer is college educated with a six-figure household income," Strategy Analytics says.

The largest percentage of iPhone buyers is between 20-30 years old, but nearly 25 percent are between 50 to 60 years old. Which makes sense, given the demographics of buyers, which are high end.

Skype Phone Coming


One mobile device trend is the creation of "cross over" devices that meld feature phones big on media with "work" phones optimized for email. But there's another trend: creation of new devices that are optimized for one particular application or use mode. Add the new Skype phone to that bucket.

Skype plans to introduce the phone in the countries where mobile carrier "3" operates. 3 is the mobile venture of Hong Kong's Hutchison Whampoa Ltd. and operates in Australia, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Austria, Denmark, Italy, Ireland, Sweden and United Kingdom.

The whole point here is to optimize the phone for Skype, making it as easy as possible to use on a mobile device. If BlackBerry is "email in your pocket," and iPhone is "Web and music in your pocket," then the new device is "Skype in your pocket."

iPhone Dings Treo and Sidekick


iPhone buyers were 10 times more likely than other new phone buyers to have previously owned a Treo and three times more likely to have owned a T-Mobile branded phone, such as the popular Sidekick model, say researchers at NPD Group.

In contrast, iPhone buyers were no more likely than the average buyer to have previously owned a Blackberry. NPD theorizes that lack of support for corporate BlackBerry servers is the reason.

Alltel and T-Mobile took the biggest churn hit. Consumers who switched carriers to buy an iPhone were three times more likely to switch from Alltel or T-Mobile than from other carriers.

Sprint and Verizon also lost customers to at&t, but not nearly to the same degree.

If early buyer trends hold up, the iPhone might be bridging the gap between content-focused feature phones and productivity-focused smart phones, NPD argues.

Personally, I still think it will be tough to develop a single device that is equally adept at melding feature and productivity device functions. Well-designed user interfaces will help, but the fact remains that such devices must embrace too much complexity and consume too much power. That means the devices will be harder to use.

Mobile phones still are consumer devices. And in the consumer device space it is a truism that a single-purpose device will outperform a multi-purpose device. Unfortunately, lots of us will continue to use two devices as a result.

Symbian Gets Touch


The Nokia-backed Symbian mobile phone operating system is adding a "touch" user interface. The S60 operating system will support a variety of input methods, including touch screens with a traditional keypad, touch screens with a "qwerty" keyboard or touch screen alone, supporting both finger or stylus optimized input.

The new interface supports tactile feedback when the user taps on the screen. The new
OS also expands the use of sensor technology to detect device motion and orientation, a feature expected to be used in gaming applications, for example.

The new OS also is said to be the first mobile software platform to deliver the complete Web video experience, including Flash Video. This allows people to view on the go Flash-enabled Web sites and Flash Video, such as YouTube, as they would do on their desktops.

Saturday, October 20, 2007

How Much More Can Vonage Take?


And what is the exposure for other independent providers of VoIP services? Not to mention software and hardware providers, though the dominant carriers are unlikely to sue their suppliers.

AT&T filed a lawsuit against VoIP provider Vonage Oct. 19 seeking damages for alleged patent infringement.

The lawsuit comes on the heels of a Vonage settlement with Sprint Nextel over patent infringement as well, and against an as-yet-unresolved patent infraction case filed by Verizon. Vonage also appears to have settled another legal dispute with Klausner Technologies, a small company with patents on voice mail technology, for an undisclosed sum.

In a filing with the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Wisconsin, at&t says Vonage willfully infringed an at&t patent related to telephone systems that allow people to make VoIP calls using standard telephone devices.

So far, Vonage's patent-related payments are north of $80 million, as Vonage announced on Oct. 8 that it settled its suit with Sprint Nextel for $80 million. As part of that agreement, Vonage agreed to license VoIP patents from Sprint, including more than 100 patents covering technology for connecting calls from a traditional phone network to an IP network. And then there is the Klausner settlement.

Vonage is also in the process of resolving a patent infringement dispute with Verizon. Unfortunately, of course, the Sprint Nextel settlement and the ultimate Verizon settlement will set a precedent likely requiring Vonage to settle with at&t as well. That will likely bump Vonage's patent payments well above $100 million in total.

And if Vonage is infringing patents held by all three giants, what are the odds other VoIP providers are immune? As for the giants, they'll simply cross-license. For everybody else, the warning is pretty clear: get too much success and you will be sued. So one wonders when the assault against cable companies will come. After all, if one wishes to slow down competitors, messing around with Vonage is okay if it creates the foundation for the bigger assault against cable. But Vonage isn't a telco incumbent's big problem in any case.

It is a sobering thought: all the other independent VoIP providers other than cable are much smaller than Vonage. What chance do they have if any conceivable profit goes to pay lawyers and settlement fees?

Friday, October 19, 2007

WiMAX Future? 3G! Sort of



Although WiMax and third generation cellular have been positioned as rival and alternative wireless standards, that might change in some cases as the International Telecommunication Union has decided to include WiMAX in the IMT-2000 set of standards. WiMAX is to be considered, after all, as just another 3G solution such as W-CDMA, CDMA-2000 and TD-SCDMA, all of which are part of the IMT-2000 set of standards.

The decision to approve the WiMAX Forum's version of IEEE Standard 802.16 as an IMT-2000 standard boosts WiMAX chances for wider deployment, especially within the 2.5-2.69 GHz frequency bands. How much of a boost is hard to predict.

WiMAX still will compete with the HSPA "Super 3G" or "long term evolution" (LTE) path most cellular operators have been saying they will take, in large part to preserve the value of expensive infrastructure they already have in place. WiMAX represents a sharp departure from that strategy.

Therein lies the challenge. Few 3G providers will want to risk being marginalized if the great bulk of 3G providers opt to stay on course. Roaming issues, handset cost, availability and price are the price to pay for bolting from the generally accepted path.

On the other hand, an upstart might choose WiMAX in order to differentiate itself from the pack, despite those issues. It's risky, but a challenger might be willing to take some risk, in a bid to grab a seat at the table. After nearly bankrupting themselves chasing 3G spectrum rights, most European mobile carriers will understandably be cautious about risking too much again.

Thursday, October 18, 2007

att&t, Verizon Change Contract Policies


Verizon Wireless and at&t say they are changing their contract policies, and will allow customers to make changes to their calling plans without automatically extending their contracts. at&t also announced it would reduce the fees consumers pay for breaking their long-term contracts. The moves come as Congress is debating legislation that require wireless companies to prorate the fees they charge customers to cancel their cellphone contracts.

The bill would also force companies to allow customers to make changes to their calling plans without automatically extending their contracts. at&t says it will replace its $175 cancellation fee with a prorated system allowing customers to pay less if they are near the end of their contract. at&t also says that it will allow customers to make changes to their calling plans without having to extend their two-year contracts with the company.

Verizon Wireless has prorated cancellation fees for nearly a year, but last week it also began to let customers change their calling plans without extending their contracts by a year or two.

Contracts obviously makes sense for carriers as they smooth out revenue, lock in customers and allow discounts on phones. But a move away from that model seems to be likely, at least in part. The iPhone pioneered a new model where consumers pay for their phones without subsidy. In Europe consumers already can buy phones without being locked into service with any particular carrier at all. So it seems likely that consumer pressure will create demand for no-contract service, if not for bigger changes such as unlocked phones.

On the Use and Misuse of Principles, Theorems and Concepts

When financial commentators compile lists of "potential black swans," they misunderstand the concept. As explained by Taleb Nasim ...