In October 2006, before potential customers were aware that AT&T would have exclusive rights to market the iPhone, Verizon Wireless was getting twice as much upside from "churners" as AT&T was.
About 28 percent of poll respondents surveyed by ChangeWave indicated they would be switching to Verizon for mobile service. About 14 percent indicated they would be switching to AT&T.
After the deal was announced, the churn gap closed. And AT&T has had a net advantage in customer switching behavior since very-early 2008. Many would say this is an "iPhone effect." Some might argue it also is the result of other activities, including AT&T promotional activity.
We won't really know until the iPhone exclusivity deal ends. In the meantime, AT&T marketing staffs have to be working on the next game-changer.
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