Are There Really Any U.S. Households That Can’t Buy 12 Mbps Internet Access?

Some 19 million people in seven million U.S. households live where fixed broadband networks do not reach people with a minimum speed of 4 Mbps downstream, and 1 Mbps upstream , according to the U.S. Federal Communications Commission.

So it might seem silly to ask a serious question about whether there are any U.S. households that really “cannot” buy Internet access service operating at 12 Mbps, from at least two providers. The reason is that looking at fixed network access, while useful, does not actually exhaust the options already to potential buyers.

Exede, the satellite broadband service already offers 12 Mbps service. HughesNet, which has successfully launched a new satellite identical to the bird used by Exede, has not yet announced its retail packages, but will be able to offer similar speeds. Subject to business logic and some engineering constraints, HughesNet could offer faster services.

But most U.S. consumers also can buy mobile broadband services. The FCC report also notes that just 6.2 percent of people do not have access to mobile broadband services offering downstream speeds of at least 3 Mbps.

In other words, the percentage of people without access to speeds of 4 Mbps on a fixed network (about six percent, using the FCC calculation) is matched by six percent of people also unable to purchase a mobile broadband service operating at at least 3 Mbps.

Put in a positive way, some 94 percent of U.S. consumers have access to fixed or mobile broadband services of 3 Mbps to 4 Mbps, and in many cases, both, from multiple providers.

The FCC study also says that the percentage of people unable to buy either a fixed or mobile broadband access services of at least 3 Mbps is 1.7 percent. That represents about 5.5 million people, or about 2.2 million locations, using the 2.5 persons per household metric.

So in addition to the two U.S. broadband providers offering 12 Mbps services, one has to take into account mobile broadband, and some amount of fixed wireless, as well.

The FCC analysis implies some 5.9 percent of U.S. households are not reached by a fixed network, using 116 million U.S. households as the universe of places. Some might use a household base of 130 million, which would suggest five percent of U.S. housing is not reached by a fixed broadband network.

The point is that the same report also suggests that mght not be as big a problem as might seem to be the case. Keep in mind that the percentage of people or households not able to buy a 4 Mbps service does not mean they cannot presently buy a service that runs at lower speeds.

The report also suggests that in June 2011, some 9.6 Americans did not have service of at least 768 kbps downstream. Assuming a typical figure of 2.5 people per household, that would imply about four million U.S. households not able to get Internet access at speeds of at least 768 kbps, from a fixed network provider.

The FCC report also notes that 79 percent of telco-served locations nationally have access to service running at least as fast as 4 Mbps in the downstream direction, while 85 percent of cable-served high speed access locations have access running at a minimum speed of 4 Mbps in the downstream.

The point is that it is perhaps useful to note how well various contestants are doing, but less useful to argue that any one type of network is the benchmark for measuring the extent and quality of access.