Worldwide telecom revenue will grow at a 2.7 percent compound annual growth rate between 2012 and 2017, according to Analysys Mason, representing movement from US$1.9 trillion in
2012 to US$2.1 trillion in 2017.
In developed markets, growth will come from mobile non-messaging data services and new services, since mobile voice and mobile messaging services will become commoditized.
In emerging markets, service providers will grow by adding significant numbers of new customers, Analysys Mason argues.
Total telecom revenue in the Europe, Middle East and Africa region is forecast to grow at a 1.2 percent CAGR from 2012 to 2017, driven largely by revenue growth in the Middle East and Africa.
The contribution of voice services to total EMEA service revenue will decline from 47 percent to 39 percent through 2017.
Non-mobile video services will see a 5.8 percent CAGR, while region capital investment grows
at a 0.5 percent CAGR.
A disproportionate share of global revenue growth will be driven by the Asia Pacific region, where
non-messaging mobile data will contribute almost 82 percent of the overall increase in worldwide service revenue.
Telecom capital investment will grow at a CAGR of 1.7 percent globally between 2012 to
2017, Analysys Mason says.
Capex growth will be strongest in the Asia-Pacific and Latin American regions, but Asia-Pacific and EMEA will account for 66 percent of the total spending through 2017.
APAC telecom revenue will grow at a four percent CAGR, with mobile data revenue equaling mobile voice revenue in the APAC region by 2017.
Capex will grow at a 2.5 percent CAGR in APAC, mainly driven by mobile network deployments.
Revenue in North America will grow at a 2.3 percent CAGR between 2012 and 2017, with growth driven by the mobile segment.
Capex in North America will grow at a 1.8 percent CAGR.
Telecom revenue in the LATAM region will grow at a 4.9 percent CAGR, lead by mobile service revenue. The number of subscribers in the LATAM region will grow at a 4.6 percent CAGR.
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