Between now and 2017, the global installed base of mobile subscriptions will grow to 8.9 billion, and 80 percent of those subsciptions will be added in developing countries, according to Strategy Analytics.
Subscriptions in developing countries will grow at a compound annual rate of 7.5 percent, substantially faster than the 2.8 percent growth that will be seen in developed countries.
With worldwide mobile service revenue growth slowing to about two percent per year through 2017, developing countries like Nigeria, where revenue is growing at twice that rate, can be very attractive markets to international players, according to Phil Kendall, Strategy Analytics director.
The Middle East and Africa, for example, will generate 28 percent revenue growth between 2012 and 2017.
The developing countries are changing dramatically as markets for communications devices and services in large part because disposable income is growing.
The African Development Bank estimated that in 2010 more than a third of Africa's population - some 350 million people - could be counted as middle class, up from 220 million in 2000. That will drive broadband services growth, as well as mobile services adoption.
Monday, March 11, 2013
Mobile Growth Shifts
Gary Kim has been a digital infra analyst and journalist for more than 30 years, covering the business impact of technology, pre- and post-internet. He sees a similar evolution coming with AI. General-purpose technologies do not come along very often, but when they do, they change life, economies and industries.
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