Getting spectrum issues right will be a critical factor in the success of 5G, argues analyst Nitin Bhas of Juniper Research. “It is critical to 5G’s success that the most feasible and appropriate spectrum bands are assigned, not only to support existing high bandwidth and capacity requirements, but also the wide ranging devices and applications contributing towards the Internet of Everything”, Bhas said.
For many, the most shocking attributes of 5G will include the low latency, high bandwidth and extremely high frequencies. Latencies might be as low as one millisecond, bandwidths might range from one Gbps to 10 Gbps per device, and frequencies will include millimeter wavelengths that have generally be commercially unfeasible for consumer applications.
A new report from Juniper Research forecasts initial adoption by 2020, with rapid adoption for 5G from 2025 onwards, with active connections representing a threefold increase from 2024 to reach 240 million by then.
However, this will represent a very limited global reach, accounting for approximately three percent of global mobile connections.
5G will be the subject of the most complex set of standardisation activities over the next five years before first roll-out of commercial services in 2020.
Juniper expects Japan and South Korea to be amongst the first countries to launch commercial 5G services.
A number of operators from this region have chosen their suppliers and set a commercial service dates. The region will witness a very high rate of growth in connections similar to that of North America. While none of the US operators have made any public announcements regarding 5G trials or pilots, Juniper feels that given its current 4G leadership, the US will closely follow the Far East & China in deployment and adoption.
A new whitepaper, Need for 5G: Hot Pursuit, is available to download from the Juniper Research website together with further details of new research on the subject.